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Integrated Risk Assessment Framework for Evaluating the Combined Impacts of Multiple Pressures on Arctic Ecosystems (COPE)

Project details

Status: Ongoing

Project period: 2019–2024

Principal: Research Council of Norway (RCN) (287114)

Coordinating institution: NILU

The primary objective of this proposal is to develop, explore, and evaluate a novel integrated risk assessment framework for assessing combined impacts of multiple pressures on the state of Arctic ecosystems. The focus herein will be upon data-rich pressures and ecosystems to enable development and a thorough evaluation of the framework.

Arctic ecosystems are subject to multiple pressures, of which two of the major challenges are climate change and exposure to long-range transported, persistent, bioaccumulative, and toxic contaminants.

These issues have largely been addressed individually, yet there is a critical need to enhance the understanding of combined impacts of multiple pressures and their interactions on Arctic ecosystem state and health. This calls for better integration of research both within and across disciplines in a comprehensive research initiative.

The primary objective of this proposal is to develop, explore, and evaluate a novel integrated risk assessment framework for assessing combined impacts of multiple pressures on the state of Arctic ecosystems.

The focus herein will be upon data-rich pressures and ecosystems to enable development and a thorough evaluation of the framework.

Hence, the initial focus will be on interacting effects of environmental organic contaminants and climate change on top-predators of a coastal and an offshore Arctic marine ecosystem in the Svalbard and Barents Sea areas.

Important sub-goals include research to

(1) develop the framework through evaluating existing knowledge of the most relevant pressures and their interactions,

(2) explore the utility of the framework to assess interactions of contaminants and climate change on the state of two selected Arctic marine ecosystems,

(3) explore the utility of the framework to assess combined impacts across ecosystems, space, and time, and

(4) evaluate the overall framework, guide further research, and communicate key results to regulatory bodies and institutions.

Overall, the project is designed to both

(i) strengthen research on critical Arctic environmental issues across disciplines and institutions, and

(ii) contribute with scientific knowledge and possible mitigation strategies of interest to relevant environmental agencies as well as international programs and agreements.

Updated: 17.09.2021

Integrated Risk Assessment Framework for Evaluating the Combined Impacts of Multiple Pressures on Arctic Ecosystems has 21 publications at NILU:

The impact of climate sensitive factors on the exposure to organohalogenated contaminants in an aquatic bird exploiting both marine and freshwater habitats

Bustnes, Jan Ove; Bårdsen, Bård-Jørgen; Herzke, Dorte; Bangjord, Georg; Bollinger, Eric; Bourgeon, Sophie; Schulz, Ralf; Fritsch, Clémentine; Eulaers, Igor

2022

Avian sentinels of the impact of Atlantification on the contaminant state of Kongsfjorden: strengths and pitfalls of a data analytical toolbox.

Eulaers, Igor; Blévin, Pierre; Bustamante, Paco; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Chastel, Olivier; Descamps, Sebastien; Fort, J.; Herzke, Dorte; Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd; Moe, Børge; Neumann, S.; Sagerup, Kjetil; Stople, T.; Varpe, Øystein; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing

2022

Modelling the influence of climate change on contaminant exposure in three key seabird species in the European Arctic

Skogeng, Lovise Pedersen; Eulaers, Igor; Blévin, Pierre; Sagerup, Kjetil; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing; Eckhardt, Sabine; Frank, Wania; Breivik, Knut; Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd

2022

Development, evaluation, and application of a mechanistic bioaccumulation model for organic contaminants in Svalbard polar bears

Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd; Routti, Heli Anna Irmeli; Eulaers, Igor; Breivik, Knut; Aars, Jon; Eckhardt, Sabine; Frank, Wania

2022

Ecosystem specific accumulation of organohalogenated compounds: A comparison between adjacent freshwater and terrestrial avian predators

Bustnes, Jan Ove; Bårdsen, Bård-Jørgen; Herzke, Dorte; Bangjord, Georg; Bourgeon, Sophie; Fritsch, Clémentine; Eulaers, Igor

2022

Merverdi av samarbeidet i flaggskipet Miljøgifter: How to COPE?

Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd; Blévin, Pierre; Borch, Trude Kristin; Breivik, Knut; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Chastel, Olivier; Eckhardt, Sabine; Eulaers, Igor; Evenset, Anita; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing; Griffith, Gary; Herzke, Dorte; Pethybridge, Heidi R.; Routti, Heli Anna Irmeli; Sagerup, Kjetil; Skogeng, Lovise Pedersen; Solbakken, Christine Forsetlund; Verrault, Jonathan; Wania, Frank

2022

Temporal trends of legacy organochlorines in a high Arctic seabird over 15 years: preliminary results

Blévin, Pierre; Chastel, Olivier; Angelier, Frédéric; Bech, Claus; Bustamante, Paco; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Herzke, Dorte; Goutte, Aurélie; Jouanneau, William; Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd; Leandri-Breton, Don-Jean; Moe, Børge; Sagerup, Kjetil; Sebastiano, Manrico; Tartu, Sabrina; Eulaers, Igor; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing

2022

Modelling the influence of climate change on contaminant exposure in three key seabird species in the European Arctic

Skogeng, Lovise Pedersen; Eulaers, Igor; Blévin, Pierre; Sagerup, Kjetil; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Gabrielsen, Geir Wing; Eckhardt, Sabine; Wania, Frank; Breivik, Knut; Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd

2022

Modelling organic contaminants in northern ecosystems across time, space and species using the integrated NEM model

Sunde Krogseth, Ingjerd; Breivik, Knut; Frantzen, Sylvia; Nilsen, Bente Merete; Eckhardt, Sabine; Nøst, Therese Haugdahl; Wania, Frank

2022

How to COPE? Contaminant–climate change interactions in the Arctic.

Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; Solbakken, Christine Forsetlund; Borch, Trude

2020

Spatial distribution of dechlorane plus and analogs in European background air

Skogeng, Lovise Pedersen; Möckel, Claudia; Halvorsen, Helene Lunder; Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; Eckhardt, Sabine; Breivik, Knut

2020

Exposure to PFAS is associated with telomere length dynamics and demographic responses of an arctic top predator

Sebastiano, Manrico; Angelier, Frédéric; Blévin, Pierre; Ribout, Cécile; Sagerup, Kjetil; Descamps, Sebastien; Herzke, Dorte; Moe, Børge; Barbarud, Christophe; Bustnes, Jan Ove; Gabrielsen, Geir W.; Chastel, Olivier

2020

Introducing a Nested Exposure Model for organic contaminants (NEM): Part 1. The physical environment.

Breivik, Knut; Eckhardt, Sabine; Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; MacLeod, M.; Wania, F.

2019

Towards a temporally and spatially resolved Nested Exposure Model for organic contaminants in Arctic ecosystems

Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; Breivik, Knut; Eckhardt, Sabine; MacLeod, M.; Wania, F.

2019

Modellering som verktøy til å forstå utslipp, eksponering og bioakkumulering

Krogseth, Ingjerd Sunde; Nøst, Therese Haugdahl; Breivik, Knut

2019